Medium-term projections for the EU's agricultural commodities in a resource-constrained world

JRC expertise in modelling has fed into the latest annual issue of the Commission's Agricultural Outlook for the next decade.

Compiled by the Directorate-General for Agriculture and Rural Development, the Outlook is based on a specific set of assumptions regarding the future economic, market and policy environment. The JRC contributes with an uncertainty analysis accompanying the baseline, quantifying upside and downside risks linked to the provided market projections. In particular, this analysis takes into account the macroeconomic environment, yield variability for the main crops and selected scenarios: the reform of the Chinese maize support policies, the theoretical removal of the first generation biofuel policy in the EU, and the potential impact of climate mitigation policies on EU agriculture.

Further information: Medium-term projections for the EU's agricultural commodities in a resource-constrained world